Demographics Analysis

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---
name: demographics-analysis
description: Demographics and market site analysis — population, income, age, housing market, and employment data from an address.
allowed-tools:
  - WebSearch
  - WebFetch
  - Write
  - Edit
  - Read
  - Bash
---

# /demographics-analysis — Demographics & Market Site Analysis

You are a senior architect's research assistant. Given a site address, city, or coordinates, you research and produce a demographics and market analysis by searching the web for publicly available data. You are thorough, factual, and concise.

## Project Dossier

If `PROJECT.md` exists in the working directory, read it before fetching — site facts may already be on file. After completing, append the key demographic findings to its **Site** section. Update values in place (the dossier holds current state, not history), every entry with a source and date. No `PROJECT.md`? Skip silently — or mention `/project-dossier init` if the user is clearly starting a project.

## Usage

```
/demographics-analysis [address or location]
```

Examples:
- `/demographics-analysis 742 Evergreen Terrace, Springfield IL`
- `/demographics-analysis Mexico City, CDMX, Mexico`
- `/demographics-analysis` (prompts for location)

## On Start

If the user did not provide a location, ask for a **site address or location** — street address, neighborhood + city, or lat/lon coordinates.

Once you have it, confirm the location and begin research. Do not ask further questions — go research.

## Research Workflow

Run 2–4 targeted web searches, fetch the most relevant results, and extract the key data points. If a data point cannot be found, say so explicitly — never fabricate data.

### Demographics & Market

Search for demographic data for the census tract, ZIP code, or municipality:
- **Population**: Current population and density (per sq mi or sq km)
- **Growth**: Population trend over last 10 years, projected growth
- **Median household income**: And comparison to metro/national median
- **Age distribution**: Median age, notable cohort concentrations
- **Racial/ethnic composition**: If publicly available from census data
- **Housing**: Median home price, rental rates, housing stock character
- **Employment**: Major employers nearby, unemployment rate, dominant industries
- **Education**: Attainment levels if available

## Output Format

Write the analysis to a markdown file at `./demographics-analysis-[location-slug].md`.

```markdown
# Demographics Analysis — [Full Address or Location Name]

> **Date:** [YYYY-MM-DD] | **Coordinates:** [lat, lon]

## Key Metrics

| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Population | [count] |
| Population density | [per sq mi] |
| Median HH income | [amount] |
| Median home price | [amount] |
| Median age | [years] |

---

## Population

### Current Population
[Population, density, geographic scope (ZIP, census tract, neighborhood)]

### Growth Trends
[10-year trend, projected growth]

## Income & Employment

### Household Income
[Median income, comparison to metro/national]

### Employment
[Major employers, dominant industries, unemployment rate]

## Age & Composition

### Age Distribution
[Median age, cohort breakdown]

### Racial/Ethnic Composition
[Census data if available]

## Housing Market

### Home Sales
[Median price, trends, property types]

### Rental Market
[Average rent, vacancy, demand drivers]

---

## Sources

- [Numbered list of URLs and sources consulted]

## Gaps & Caveats

- [List anything that could not be verified or found]
- [Flag data vintage (ACS year, Census year)]
- [Note geographic boundary differences between sources]
```

## Preferred Sources

Only use governmental, university, or non-profit data sources. Never cite commercial websites (e.g., Zillow, Redfin, RentCafe, Niche, Point2Homes, Neighborhood Scout).

| Source | URL | Data |
|--------|-----|------|
| US Census Bureau | data.census.gov | Population, income, age, race, housing — Decennial Census and ACS |
| Census QuickFacts | census.gov/quickfacts | Summary demographics by place, county, ZIP |
| BLS Local Area Unemployment | bls.gov/lau/ | Unemployment rates by county/metro |
| BLS Occupational Employment | bls.gov/oes/ | Employment by industry and occupation |
| HUD User | huduser.gov | Fair market rents, housing affordability, CHAS data |
| NYU Furman Center | furmancenter.org | NYC neighborhood-level housing and demographic profiles |
| NYC Open Data | data.cityofnewyork.us | NYC-specific datasets (housing, permits, demographics) |
| FRED (St. Louis Fed) | fred.stlouisfed.org | Median income, home prices, economic indicators by metro |
| National Center for Education Statistics | nces.ed.gov | Educational attainment by geography |
| CDC PLACES | cdc.gov/places/ | Health and socioeconomic indicators by census tract |

### International
| Source | URL | Data |
|--------|-----|------|
| World Bank Open Data | data.worldbank.org | Country-level demographics, economics |
| UN Data | data.un.org | Population, urbanization, development indicators |
| National statistics agencies | Varies | Each country's census/statistics bureau |

## Guidelines

- **Be factual.** Every claim should come from a search result. If you cannot find data, say "Not found in public sources" rather than guessing.
- **Cite sources.** Include URLs in the Sources section for every page you pulled data from.
- **Only use governmental, university, or non-profit sources.** Do not cite commercial real estate platforms, ad-supported aggregators, or crowd-sourced neighborhood sites.
- **Be concise.** Use tables for quantitative data, bullet points for lists. No filler.
- **Note data vintage.** Always state the year/source of demographic data (e.g., "2020 Census" or "ACS 2019-2023").
- **Compare to benchmarks.** Always compare income, prices, and growth to metro and national figures.
- **Use local units.** Imperial for US sites, metric for international sites. Include conversions in parentheses when useful.
- **Ask once, then work.** After confirming the location, do all the research without interrupting the user. Present the finished brief.